Bugs and insects are always worse where wet, damp and moisture-rich areas exist.
Where ever there is water and excessive moisture, you'll find the bugs- because that's where they live, spawn and multiply.
Thus, the more water and moisture in an
area, the greater the insect population will be. The idea here is to gauge
rainfall and moisture to a specific area and then predict how conditions might
be.
We
begin with winter. It snows. Snow accumulates. Snow melts. And when snow melts,
it leaves behind water and moisture. The question is... when does this
water and moisture dissipate, and how fast or how slow?
The length of time the season's Spring
run-off sticks around, both during and after a spring thaw, will determine how
bad the bug and insect season will be. Add the likelihood of persistent
April showers and a bug and insect index increases even more dramatically.
The faster pooling water and moisture
dissipates, or evaporates, a bug index is reduced dramatically. Heavy
rainfall acquired throughout the month of April, and lingers with little
evaporation by the end of May, will spell bug and insect disaster. On the
other hand, if little rainfall (along with melting snow run-off) is acquired and
assisted with dry, warming temps and moderate winds, (such as last year's U.P.
bug season) you can expect bugs to be much less an annoyance throughout
much of the season more often than not.
Now armed with the formula, simply keep
track of current rainfall totals, and look back into weather rainfall history
trends to gauge and determine whether you can expect to encounter a wet season
or a dry one.
Start off by pulling up
Weather Underground
with your web browser.
Type in your desired Zip Code location and then find/scroll down on the page to
, "History & Almanac" then click the "Detailed History and
Climate" link.
From there you can get the current
month's precipitation and also go back into history for years- to determine a
low, average, or a high precipitation estimate. Then keep watch how much
rainfall is acquired during the rain season and run-off into May.
The lower the accumulative rainfall
totals and higher the dry days will result in less bugs and insects. Works
every time.
Notes of interest:
Remember, nothing beats having a visual,
birds eye view of a season's precipitation developments. We suggest you
get area contacts which are available from newsgroups, area weather bloggers and
weather related U.P. forums and message boards. You'll most likely meet
new Internet weather friends in the process.
We've been using this technique for the
past 15 years, and we've been right on every single year- honestly!
Michigan U.P. Regards
Munising.com Web Technology Group
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This article is copyright 2006, by
MichiganUpperPeninsula.com WTG
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